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What makes this release worth examining is not its predictability. It is the position of the market when the tokens become available.
The event therefore creates a direct test: can the market absorb another scheduled tranche without sending ARB into price discovery?
The Unlock Is Routine; Its Position on the Chart Is Not
Arbitrum’s official distribution documents state that tokens allocated to the team and investors follow four-year vesting arrangements. The first release occurred one year after the March 2023 token-generation event, followed by monthly releases through the remaining three years.
According to Tokenomist’s schedule, approximately 92.65 million ARB is due for release on August 16. The published schedule establishes the date but does not provide a confirmed execution hour.
| Team, future team and advisors | 56.13 million ARB |
| Investors |
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