What is established: the Fear and Greed Index for the crypto market stands at 13 points on Saturday, November 14, 2026, deep in "extreme fear" territory, according to data from Alternative.me. Bitcoin costs around $65,480 at about 9:40 pm CET on Saturday evening, roughly €59,400, which according to CoinGecko is 4.9 percent less than 24 hours earlier and 13.3 percent less than a week ago. Our assessment follows further down: in the past, a fear reading this low has more often signalled an imminent rebound than further losses, but the final low often came only weeks later.
How the editorial team views the bitcoin price over a horizon of months is set out in our bitcoin price prediction. This article asks a narrower question: what happened in the twelve earlier cases when sentiment was as bad as it is today? The answer comes from our own analysis of index readings since February 2018 and of bitcoin's daily closing prices on the Coinbase exchange.
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