Key takeaways:
- BTC hit 12-week high of $79,488 on April 27, now at $77,700.
- Third rejection at $80,000.
- RSI collapsed from approximately 75 to 39.54 in a single candle.
- Rejection candle volume largest sell candle visible on the 1H chart.
- Price returned to prior range top at $77,700.
- RSI signal line at 62.43.
- FOMC rate decision April 29 – Powell’s final remarks before Warsh takes over May 15.
- Support: $78,500 immediate, $76,900 (200-EMA 1H), $75,000 critical floor.
- Daily close above $79,500 needed to open path toward $82,000-$83,850.
The first rejection at $80,000 can be explained as natural resistance. The second confirms sellers are positioned there. The third, at $79,488, the highest attempt yet, reveals something more specific: the demand required to absorb that supply is not currently pre...


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