Bitcoin Touched $79,500 and Fell Back to $77,500: On-Chain Data Shows Why

2 weeks ago 18

Rommie Analytics

Key takeaways:

  • BTC hit 12-week high of $79,488 on April 27, now at $77,700.
  • Third rejection at $80,000.
  • RSI collapsed from approximately 75 to 39.54 in a single candle.
  • Rejection candle volume largest sell candle visible on the 1H chart.
  • Price returned to prior range top at $77,700.
  • RSI signal line at 62.43.
  • FOMC rate decision April 29 – Powell’s final remarks before Warsh takes over May 15.
  • Support: $78,500 immediate, $76,900 (200-EMA 1H), $75,000 critical floor.
  • Daily close above $79,500 needed to open path toward $82,000-$83,850.

The first rejection at $80,000 can be explained as natural resistance. The second confirms sellers are positioned there. The third, at $79,488, the highest attempt yet, reveals something more specific: the demand required to absorb that supply is not currently pre...

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