Cardano price analysis: can ADA avoid a drop to $0.13?

• Cardano (ADA) trades near $0.160 with weak momentum and fading buying pressure.
• The key support at $0.157 is critical, with $0.13 risk if it breaks.
• Oversold signals and the Leios testnet could trigger a short rebound soon.

Cardano (ADA) continues to trade under pressure, holding near the lower end of its recent range as both spot and derivatives markets reflect cautious sentiment.

The token is priced at $0.1607, down 3.2% in the past 24 hours.

Over longer timeframes, the token is down 6.1% over the past 7 days, down 35.6% over the past month, and down 73.2% in the past year, reflecting sustained downside pressure across the broader trend structure.

Daily trading activity, however, remains active, with $368.8 million in 24-hour volume.

Weak derivatives positioning and fading participation

In the derivatives market, the long-to-short ratio stands at 0.96, indicating slightly more short positions than long positions among traders.

Futures open interest is around $348 million, continuing a broader decline from mid-May levels.

This reduction in open interest signals lower speculative engagement and suggests that traders are reducing exposure ra...