This year, multiple weather experts have predicted an El Niño by midsummer.
Some think it could even become a “super El Niño”.
But what does that mean, and how could it affect the UK?
El Niño forming by May, potentially becoming strong by August — new ECMWF seasonal modeling.
By the numbers:
• 22% chance of a super El Niño by August
• 80% chance of a strong event
• 98% chance of a moderate event
That's according to data from 50 ensemble members. pic.twitter.com/LDOogrRcEC
What is an El Niño?
An El Niño happens when the surface of the Pacific Ocean heats up by 0.5°C or more.
During a super El Niño, though, temperatures rise by 1.5-2°C, professor emeritus of Geophysical and Climate Hazards at UCL, Prof Bill McGuire, Read Entire Article


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