On Tuesday, 3 November 2026, Americans elect all 435 members of the House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 senators. For Bitcoin and crypto, the midterm elections decide who writes the next crypto law: the market structure bill CLARITY failed in the Senate in September and will probably have to start again in the new Congress in January. Prediction markets on 30 October gave the Democrats a 92 to 94 percent chance of winning the House and 69 percent for the Senate, according to an overview by Oddschecker of Kalshi and Polymarket. The election falls into a week of shocks: the Binance hack, the worst day on Wall Street since June and expected rate hikes by the Fed. Here is what is at stake for crypto investors.
Midterm elections 2026 and crypto: the key facts
- Date: Tuesday, 3 November 2026; results in close races can take days.
- Prediction markets: Democrats 92 to 94 % for the House, 69 % for the Senate (Kalshi and Polymarket, 30 October).
- Crypto law: the CLARITY Act passed t...
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