SHOCKER: Republicans Lose Deep-Red Pennsylvania House Seat Held for 30 Years — Trump Won District by 18 Points — Butler County, Site of Trump Assassination Attempt Decided by Just 88 Votes

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Rommie Analytics

This is a five-alarm political disaster for Pennsylvania Republicans.

Democrat Brandon Dukes appears to have flipped the deep-red 12th Legislative District in Tuesday’s special election, edging Republican Scott Timko by only 88 votes in a district President Donald Trump carried by 18.4 percentage points in 2024.

According to unofficial Butler County returns, Dukes received 8,434 votes to Timko’s 8,346, with 35 write-in votes. All 27 precincts reported. Turnout was 31.9%, with 16,825 ballots cast among 52,745 registered voters.

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